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GSY.TO09/22/2025

Jehoshaphat Research Short Report on GSY.TO

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goeasy Ltd. Short Thesis Dashboard

goeasy Ltd. $GSY.CN

Jehoshaphat Research • Published September 2025 • "Where Did goeasy's Credit Losses Go?"

CORE INVESTMENT THESIS

goeasy Ltd. is a Canadian subprime lender sitting on ~$300m worth of improperly delayed credit losses buried in the balance sheet like dead bodies in the snow.

After months of studying GSY's accounting, we have concluded this is a classic subprime loan time bomb where accounting wizardry has been used to suppress delinquencies and create cost zombies piling up on the balance sheet.

COMPANY OVERVIEW

Company Name
goeasy Ltd.
Canadian financial services company
Headquarters
Canada 🇨🇦
Listed on Toronto Stock Exchange
Current Business
Subprime Consumer Lending
Installment loans, auto finance, home equity
Leadership
Recent CEO/CFO Departures
Jason Mullins (ex-CEO), Hal Khouri (ex-CFO)
Loan Portfolio
$5.1 Billion CAD
Gross consumer loans receivable
Key Risk
Hidden Credit Losses
~$300m of delayed charge-offs
Reported NCO Rate
8.9%

Should be ~15% according to Jehoshaphat's analysis. The difference is enough to ruin every core assumption about this business.

Interest Receivable Explosion
42%

Interest receivable as % of quarterly income vs historical 14-17%. Indicates exploding "hidden delinquencies."

Median Credit Score
585

TransUnion score (~558 FICO equivalent). Lowest among subprime peers yet reports lowest delinquency rates.

151+ Day Delinquencies
$109m

Massive surge after accounting rule changes. These should have been charged off under traditional policy.

The Accounting Games Timeline

Q423: Interest receivable ratio begins exploding to unprecedented levels
Q124-Q224: Sudden movement of 8% of loans to "low-risk" category despite declining credit scores
Q324: New policy to defer more costs as "acquisition expenses"
Q424: Removal of 180-day automatic charge-off rule for secured loans
2025: Both CEO and CFO announce departures amid first earnings miss in 3 years

KEY PLAYERS

Jason Mullins

Former CEO (departed Jan 2025)

Announced departure July 2024, shortly after major accounting changes began. Sold stock for first time in 3 years before leaving.

Hal Khouri

Former CFO (departing Nov 2025)

CFO for 6 years, announced sudden departure with no interim replacement identified. First stock sales ever in August 2025.

Former GSY Employee

Collections/Lending Manager

"It's not playing with the books, but, well, you know... we just had so many tools to avoid the inevitable [default]."

Former Competitor Executive

Direct GSY Competitor

"Their losses have always been artificially lower... at some point the chickens come home to roost."

The ~$300M Problem Breakdown

~$100M
Delayed by changing charge-off definition
~$200M
Delayed by burying delinquencies
~$300M
TOTAL IMPACT

If taken in a single year, this would result in a 14-15% NCO rate instead of 8-9%, reducing 2026 pre-tax earnings by ~63%.

Jehoshaphat Research's Verdict

According to Jehoshaphat Research, goeasy Ltd. ($GSY.CN) is a Canadian subprime lender sitting on approximately $300 million worth of improperly delayed credit losses and unreported serious delinquencies that have been buried in the balance sheet. Through systematic accounting changes including removal of the 180-day charge-off rule, aggressive delinquency suppression techniques, and creative cost deferrals, GSY has created what JR calls "cost zombies piling up in the balance sheet." Jehoshaphat Research concludes this is a classic subprime loan time bomb that can't continue much longer.

🔻 JEHOSHAPHAT RESEARCH SHORT POSITION
True NCO Rate Estimate: ~15% (vs 8.9% reported)
Key Risks: $300M catch-up losses could reduce 2026 pre-tax earnings by ~63% if recognized

Disclaimer: This dashboard presents Jehoshaphat Research's investment thesis and opinions. All data is derived from public filings and the original research report dated September 2025. This is not investment advice. Please read the full report and conduct your own due diligence.